What is shale gas?
Shale rocks are generally dense and 
black-coloured, formed from mud deposited at the bottom of past oceans, 
now solidified into rock. This mud is rich in un-decayed organic matter -
 that's what gives shales their black colour. When heated, the organic 
matter is transformed into oil and gas.
Once it has 
formed, some of this oil and gas is able to move out of the shale 
layers, rising through overlying strata, where it may become trapped in 
sandstone or limestone layers. This oil and gas is what we consider to 
be 'conventional' reservoirs, where we have usually looked for oil.
However,
 it has always been known that much of the oil and gas formed during 
burial remains behind, trapped in the shale layers. Compared to 
sandstones and limestones shales tend to have lower porosity, making it 
harder for the oil and gas to move about through the shale. This means 
that it is harder to extract gas from shale than from conventional 
reservoirs where the fluids can flow more freely.
  
So
 how is shale gas extracted?
Firstly, a well is sunk, which 
travels vertically through the overlying strata. When it reaches the 
shale layer, it turns sideways, drilling horizontally. Modern wells are 
capable of drilling over 10km horizontally: such wells are called 
'extended reach laterals'. This part is absolutely no different to 
conventional drilling.
Once the horizontal well is 
drilled, it must be hydraulically stimulated, or as it has become known,
 "fracked". The horizontal well is "fracked" in portions, stage by stage
 every few hundred meters or so, meaning that a 2km lateral well might 
need 10 to 20 stages. For each stage, the targetted section of the well 
is sealed off, and water is pumped down at high pressure. This water 
will contain about 1% chemicals that make the stimulation more 
efficient: surfactants (basically like detergent) that make the water 
more 'slippery', so less pressure is needed to pump it; and 
viscosifiers, that help the water carry proppant (more on that in a 
moment).
 
The pressure of the water is 
sufficient to open up pre-existing fractures in the rock, and to create 
new ones. These fractures are important, because they provide a pathway 
for the gas to flow out of the shale rock and into the well. Above I 
pointed out that it is difficult for oil and gas to flow through shale 
rocks. It is the fractures that allow them to flow into the well. 
Towards the end of the stage, proppant is pumped with the water. 
Proppant is usually just sand and gravel, although ceramic beads can 
also be used. The proppant is pushed into the fractures that have been 
created, literally 'propping' them open, ensuring that the gas can 
continue to flow. 
Each stage takes a few hours of 
pumping, so to "frack" all the stages of a lateral might take a week. 
Once that is completed, the well is ready for production. A small 
'Christmas Tree' valve is placed on the top of the well, and the gas may
 continue to flow for years without any further intervention.
There's
 suddenly a lot of media fuss about fracking. It must be a new 
technology, right?
Wells were first hydraulically stimulated 
in the 1940s. It has been a standard tool in a driller's toolbox for a 
long time. Horizontal wells are in fact far newer, really only becoming 
common in the 1990s. Some would argue that the current developments have
 more to do with horizontal drilling than they do hydraulic stimulation.
 However, even with these developments, many geologists felt that it 
would never be possible to extract gas from shales at economic rates.
George
 Mitchell, a Texan, persevered through the 1990s, improving the 
technique, to show that it was in fact possible, and the shale 
revolution was born. Since then, a drilling boom exploded as American 
companies realised they didn't have to look abroad, or in the deep and 
treacherous waters of the Gulf of Mexico, because huge volumes of oil 
and gas were to be found under Texas, Colorado, Pennsylvania and now 30 
other US states.
So hydraulic stimulation, or 
"fracking", is a very well established technique. Horizontal drilling, 
just as essential to shale development, but much less talked about, is 
newer, developing in the 1990s.
However, to extract gas
 from shales requires more fractures than in a conventional reservoir, 
as they are initially less permeable. Therefore, the volumes of water 
being injected for shale are typically larger than that used previously 
in conventional reservoirs. So while current developments are not using 
new technology, it does represent a scaling up of that technology.
I've
 heard about scary-sounding chemicals contaminating water supplies. Is 
this true?
Opponents of fracking sometimes talk about the 500 
toxic chemicals needed to "frack". I don't think any stimulation needs 
500 different chemicals: that's probably the total number used in the 
history of the technique, not the number used for a single stimulation.
The
 two main chemicals used are surfactants (found in most 
soaps/detergents) and viscosifiers (typically guar gum, used in many 
food products). While not hideously toxic, I wouldn't want to drink 
water contaminated with surfactants and the like (who'd want to drink 
the sink-water after they've done the washing up). In addition, the 
water injected during "fracking" comes into contact with the deep shale 
rocks. These sometimes contain heavy metals and salts, which may also 
enter into the "fracking" fluid.
The most obvious way 
for these chemicals to enter groundwater is if they are spilled on the 
surface. There is an example from Louisiana where 17 cattle died after 
undiluted KCl was allowed to spill off of a drill pad. Many of the 
reported issues in the US are due to the ponds used to hold the waste 
fluids: open
 pools lined with plastic. The lining of these ponds has been known 
to tear, or if it rains heavily they can overflow. Ponds like this are 
not allowed in the UK for exactly these reasons. In the UK waste fluids 
must be stored in double-lined steel tanks: this is a major difference 
between drilling in the UK and the USA.
Safe management
 of fluids on the surface should be standard practice for all oil and 
gas operations - you can read here all the precautions Cuadrilla have 
taken at Balcombe, layer upon layer of protection to ensure that no 
substance on the drill site is allowed to leak.
The 
secondary concern, of course, is what happens when the fluid is injected
 into the ground. "Fracking" takes place well below the water table, 
typically at depths of 2 - 4km (most potable ground water is found 
within a few hundred meters of the surface). So there is a lot of solid 
rock between where the fluid is injected and any potable water.
For
 the injected fluids to contaminate groundwater, two things are 
required: (1) a path (such as faults and fractures) along which these 
fluids could migrate, and (2) a force to push these fluids along this 
path.
If there were an easy path allowing fluids to 
move upwards, then the oil or gas, more buoyant and more mobile than 
water-based "frack" fluids, would have already travelled through these 
paths during the 200 million years of geologic history for which the gas
 has been trapped. Therefore, the fact that the gas is still trapped 
there to start with tells us that such paths are unlikely.
As
 for a driving force to push the fluids along such a pathway, should it 
exist? The water-based "frack" fluids, with their various additives, are
 of a similar density, or perhaps even more dense, than the brines that 
fill non-gas-bearing rocks at these depths, and of course much denser 
than oil and gas. Therefore, they will tend to sink downwards, rather 
than rise upwards. There is no driving force to push the "frack" fluids 
back towards the surface.
So we have no pathway, and no
 driving mechanism, to cause injected "frack" fluids to rise upwards 
towards potable groundwater sources. This was the conclusion of a recent
 study into the possibility of hydraulic communication between shale
 layers are depth and shallow groundwater bodies, finding it "physically
 implausible". 
That's all fine in theory, what about 
the evidence? Well, a number of studies have been done on water quality 
in shale areas. Only one, a recent paper by an Arlington group
 has suggested any kind of link between drilling and contamination by 
"chemicals". They found a correlation between arsenic and selenium 
levels and proximity to natural gas wells. They are uncertain in their 
conclusions, however, as there are a number of possible causes for their
 observations. Moreover, they do not link their observations with any 
communication of "fracking" fluids from depth - if drilling is to blame,
 they believe is likely to be due to vibrations from drilling operations
 that agitate old, rusty water wells. This agitation of old rusty metal 
is the most likely source of the observed metals.   
The
 majority of water quality studies have found no evidence of 
fracking-related chemicals in groundwater: some (one from the
 Duke team, one by Molofsky
 et al) found no evidence of any effect whatsoever on water quality.
 One
 from the Duke team found evidence for methane contamination (see 
below), but no evidence for "fracking" fluids. 
I've
 also seen videos of a tap catching on fire? Is methane leakage a 
problem?
Perhaps the most dramatic footage in the famous 
Gaslands film is the scene where the farmer can set his tap water on 
fire. This is caused by methane gas contaminating groundwater. Methane 
itself is not toxic in any way, although if it builds up in large enough
 quantities it presents a fire hazard.
There are two 
potential ways that methane trapped at depth in shale rock could get 
into shallow groundwater - through a pathway in the rock, or through a 
gas well. As above, if there were an existing pathway through the rock 
to the surface, then the gas would have already taken that route during 
the millions of years that it was otherwise trapped. Unlike "fracking" 
fluids, methane is buoyant and mobile. In drilling a well, a new 
potential pathway is created for methane to get to the surface.
When
 wells are drilled, they are lined with several concentric layers of 
steel, called the casing. When all is as it should be, the gas flows up 
the middle of the well, inside the casing, to the surface. The casing is
 fixed into place with a layer of cement that fills the small gap 
between the casing and the rock.
If there are gaps or 
cracks in this cement then methane can move up through this gap 
(sometimes called the annulus) towards the surface. Of course, the 
crack/gap has to run all the way from the shale layer to the surface. 
Well bore integrity has long been known as a potential problem for all 
oil and gas wells, for both conventional and shale reservoirs.
There
 have been definite examples where poor casing/cement has lead to 
methane migration into shallow groundwater. Dimock, Pennsylvania, is 
probably the best-known. The company involved was cited for a number of 
violations of drilling regulations, and fined heavily. The wells have 
since been repaired, and methane levels have fallen back to below safe 
minima. Casing and cement is something the industry has been working 
with for a long time - there are monitoring tools that can be used to 
check that there are no gaps or cracks in the cement, and, as at Dimock,
 it is possible to repair problematic casing.
The 
majority of methane-in-groundwater complaints come from Pennsylvania. 
This perhaps inevitable, because methane occurs very commonly in 
groundwater in PA. There are a number of natural ways that can lead to 
methane in groundwater. Of course, that means that determining when gas 
drilling is to blame, and when it is natural, can be problematic.
We
 know at Dimock the gas was drilling-related. But how common is this 
problem. There have been three main studies here, two by the Duke team, 
one by Molofsky et al.. The Duke team
 studied the Fayetteville shale, Arkansas, and did not find any 
evidence for drilling-induced methane contamination.
However,
 when
 they examined the Marcellus (Pennsylvania), they found evidence for
 drilling-induced methane contamination. Yet this paper has come in for 
substantial criticism for two main reasons: the number of samples 
analysed (only 160ish), and the apparent non-randomness of where the 
samples were taken from.
To address this, Molofsky et 
al conducted a much wider sampling regime (over 2,000 samples). They 
found that if you lived near a gas well, there was a 3 - 4% chance of 
finding methane in your groundwater. However, if you lived in an area 
with no drilling, there was also 3-4% chance of finding methane in your 
groundwater. When you look regionally, whether or not you are in a 
drilling area doesn't appear to affect the probability of groundwater 
methane occurrence.
What can we conclude from this? 
Well integrity and methane leakage is an important issue for the 
industry, one that it needs to keep on top of. We've seen at Dimock that
 if a company takes shortcuts, and violates regulations, this can be an 
issue. Importantly, there are ways to check cement integrity once a well
 has been drilled, and ways to repair problems. 
The 
question is, how widespread is this issue? The data from Molofsky et al 
appear to show that it is likely to be a few isolated incidents, rather 
than a widespread problem. Reviews
 by the US Groundwater Protection Council have come to a similar 
conclusion. 
I've heard that 5% of wells fail 
immediately, and that 50% fail eventually?
This is a statistic
 often cited by opponents of drilling looking to highlight the 
methane leakage issue discussed above. The statistic comes from a paper
 by Schlumberger examining wells in the deep Gulf of Mexico, and 
particularly the chart on page 2. Firstly, it's worth noting that this 
'paper' is basically an advert by a company selling well repair 
solutions, so it's in their interest to 'big-up' the stats as much as 
possible.
More importantly, what do we mean by 'well 
failure'? In the context of shale gas extraction, we surely mean that a 
well that is allowing methane to leak into shallow groundwater. This is 
where the use of the above statistic is somewhat disingenuous. The 
statistics in the paper are for sustained casing pressure, or SCP. This 
is where a portion of the annulus remains pressurised when it shouldn't 
be. This is absolutely not the same as a well leaking - leaking well 
will probably experience SCP, but that doesn't mean that SCP indicates a
 leaking well.
Equally disingenuous is the fact that 
these stats come from deepwater Gulf of Mexico wells. Drilling is a lot 
more challenging when there is a couple of kilometers of water between 
your rig and the ground (as the Deepwater Horizon accident showed). It's
 only in recent years that drilling technology has advanced to enable us
 to drill there at all.
It's not a fair comparison to 
link wells drilled in the GoM with onshore shale wells, the drilling and
 casing of which is no different to the thousands of conventional 
onshore wells we've been drilling for almost a century. It'd be like 
using the number of crashes in an F1 race to predict how many accidents 
there'll be on the M25. Deepwater GoM wells are at the limits of our 
technology. Shale gas wells are far more mundane.
If we
 really want to understand how common well casing issues might be in the
 UK, surely the best place to look is at our many current onshore wells.
 There have been over 2,000 wells drilled onshore UK. Whether on not 
they are "fracked" or not has little bearing on casing integrity. These 
2,000 existing onshore wells will be no different to shale gas wells. 
I'm not aware of any complaints of casing integrity issues or methane 
contamination from any of these existing sites. 
Didn't
 fracking also trigger an earthquake in Lancashire. Is that 
common?
It did. In 2011, when Cuadrilla "fracked" a well near 
Blackpool, two small earthquakes were triggered. Both were very small, 
at the limits of what humans can feel, and would have caused a similar 
amount of shaking to an HGV driving past your house.
It's
 a fact not often appreciated that everything we do in the subsurface 
carries a small risk of triggering an earthquake, whether it be coal 
mining, conventional oil/gas, geothermal, hydroelectric. Even quarry 
blasts are basically man-made earthquakes. Shale gas is no different, 
there will always be a small risk of triggering small earthquakes. 
However, this risk is small: only one of the hundreds of thousands of 
"frack" stages in the US has triggered an earthquake. Any quakes 
produced will be too small to cause actual damage. DECC have said that 
every future "fracking" site will require seismic monitoring, and Bristol
 University have currently deployed seismometers at the Balcombe site
 (even though they're not planning to "frack" at this stage).
I
 know that some forms of hydrocarbon extraction lead to subsidence 
issues. Could that be a problem for shale gas?
When you remove
 material from the ground, a space is created that is sometimes filled 
by the overlying material subsiding into the gap. This is particularly 
true for coal mining, which can cause severe subsidence. 
However,
 shale rocks are dense, with low porosity. That is why they need to be 
"fracked" to get the gas out. Because of this, they are usually 
mechanically strong enough to support themselves once the gas is 
removed. As such, subsidence is not expected to be an issue during shale
 gas extraction. The Barnett shale in Texas is the oldest shale field: 
production started over 10 years ago. There has been no measurable 
subsidence during this time. 
How much water will be
 needed?
Several million gallons of water, or 2 - 5,000 cubic 
meters of water are needed for each well. That's a couple of 
olympic-sized swimming pools. That sounds like a lot of water. However, 
it's important to keep that number in context. The average golf course 
can easily use this much water a week in summer months. Similarly (and a
 lot more shockingly), UK water systems leak over 3 billion liters 
(3 million cubic meters) per day. So if we our utilities were to 
improve leakage by 1%, we'd have enough water to "frack" 30 stages every
 day.
In all but the driest places, shale gas 
development doesn't pose a strain on water resources. Moreover, water 
abstraction is regulated in the UK. If demands on water resources are 
too great, the Environment Agency will not provide a license to abstract
 water, and utilities will not provide it.
What 
about air pollution, is that a potential issue?
Along with 
water contamination, this is one of the hot issues for shale extraction,
 because it involves people's health. There have been a number of 
regional-scale air quality surveys that do not find any evidence for 
drilling-related air quality issues,
 including in the Barnett shale and in
 Pennsylvania. In fact, the Pennsylvania report shows significant 
improvements in air quality, mainly because coal-fired power stations 
are being replace by gas power stations. 
More 
localised studies have found the occasional issue, mainly
 it seems with compressor stations rather than drilling sites. 
However, even these studies have concluded that "the screening results 
do not indicate a potential
for major air-related health issues associated with the Marcellus Shale 
drilling activities".
Fracking might be ok in the wide-open spaces of the
 US, but surely there's no space for it in the UK? 
It's true 
that shale gas extraction is easier in unpopulated areas. Opponents of 
shale gas often show images of the Jonah gas field,
 where the land is covered with wells. This is actually a conventional 
gas field, drilled in the 1990s, before horizontal drilling had taken 
off. The benefit of horizontal drilling is that you don't need nearly as
 many well pads.
The truth is that the drilling 
industry is very adaptable. Sure, if you give them a big empty space and
 tell them you can drill all over it, then they probably will. However, 
they can cope in far more constrained conditions when it is necessary. 
Perhaps the best example of this is Dallas-Forth
 Worth. This is the 9th most populated city in America, with a 
population of over 6 million. Yet the Barnett shale runs right 
underneath, and it's being drilled. By using long lateral wells, 
drilling sites can be squeezed into urban and suburban areas without 
taking up much space at all.
Does the UK have much 
of a record for onshore drilling?
The UK onshore industry does
 not have a very visible profile. However, it is there: we produce 100 
million cubic meters of gas per year. Over 2,000 onshore wells have been
 drilled in the UK. Of these, about 200 have been "fracked". I've 
plotted a map of all the wells here.
 In some places, such as Beckingham
 Marshes, they manage to squeeze a 
lot of wells into not-very-much space, without upsetting local 
people.
The UK onshore industry has been very good at 
staying out of sight, and very good at making sure they do not pollute. 
If we want to predict what shale gas development in the UK will be like,
 the first place to look should be the current onshore industry, which 
does a very effective job working with local communities. 
I've
 heard that the methane leaks mean that shale gas is actually worse for 
climate change than coal. Is that true?
Burning coal for 
electricity produces approximately 3 times as much CO2 as natural gas 
does. Therefore, switching from coal fired to natural gas fired 
electricity should represent a significant benefit. CO2 emissions in the
 US have dropped significantly as gas has replaced coal as a source of 
electricity.
However, natural gas production has the 
potential to release methane to the atmosphere. Methane is also a potent
 greenhouse gas, so if shale gas extraction emits a lot of methane, it 
could counteract the benefits of reduced CO2. This was the premise of a 
paper by Howarth et al., which has garnered a lot of publicity. 
However, this paper has come in for a raft of criticism, as most other 
studies on the subject have indicated very clear benefits from switching
 from coal to gas. No
 Hot Air lists some of the scathing comments about the Howarth 
paper.
A
 study funded by the EU Commission concluded that, with respect to 
greenhouse gas emission, domestic shale gas production has a similar 
footprint to imported gas (that has to be compressed and shipped to 
Europe from the Middle East), and a significantly better footprint than 
coal.  
Even if it's better than coal, gas is still a fossil fuel. 
Surely we should be focusing all our efforts on renewable electricity?  
Now
 we're on to a more serious criticism of shale gas development. We know 
we already have more fossil fuel reserves than we can safely burn 
without causing catastrophic climate change, so why are we bothering to 
look for more?
My answer to this comes in two parts: 
firstly is to point out, as above, that for a unit of energy produced, 
shale gas emits less than half as much CO2 as coal. If we are to avoid 
climate change, there must presumably be an upper limit to the rate that
 we can emit CO2. If the treat of climate change requires us to ration 
our CO2 emissions, it seems obvious that we should choose the fuel 
source that gives us the most energy for that ration of CO2 emission. 
That fuel source, by a significant margin, is gas.
It's
 correct that we should leave a large portion of our current fossil fuel
 reserves in the ground. That portion, however, should be coal. 
Moreover, renewable energy currently requires flexible backup sources - 
an abundance of gas provides this.
My second argument 
relates to how we get to a point where our CO2 emissions are reduced. A 
common call is that 'we should be investing in renewable energy 
sources'. This is absolutely true. However, in order to invest, you need
 to have money to invest. Given our current economic struggles, it 
becomes harder and harder to politically justify renewable energy 
receiving public money, either as a supplement on bills or as a direct 
subsidy from the treasury.
If the economy improves, 
there will be more money available to invest. In my opinion, we should 
be ring-fencing a proportion of the taxes made on shale gas development,
 in order that they be re-invested into renewables and/or next-gen 
nuclear. This would ensure that in the short term we reduce our CO2 
emissions by replacing coal fired power, but that in the long term 
investment continues in alternative energy sources, such that they will 
be ready as soon as possible.
That's the theory, how 
does this bear up to reality? Well, Texas is the undisputed home of 
shale gas, with the Barnett, Eagleford and Haynesville shale plays. Yet,
 perhaps surprisingly, Texas
 is also one of the leading states in terms of renewable energy, and
 the renewables boom has occurred at pretty-much the same time as the 
shale boom. In Texas, at least, a booming shale gas industry has gone 
hand-in-hand with booming renewables, rather than competing with each 
other.
Will shale gas have an impact on my gas 
bills? 
This is somewhat uncertain, and as a 
geoscientist I'm probably straying outside of my main area of expertise.
 The most
 recent report commissioned by the government suggests prices could 
fall by 25%. However, other reports have suggested it would have less of
 an impact.
However, it's important to look at the 
economic impacts beyond consumer gas prices. At present, we expect to be
 buying more and more gas from places like Norway and Qatar. That is 
money that leaves the UK economy for good, never to be seen again. It 
creates no jobs, and pays no taxes.
In contrast, a UK 
shale gas industry would provide jobs for UK workers. It's true that 
some of those jobs would be specialists, attracting high-payed 
international workers. That is still beneficial to the UK economy, 
because those people will live in the UK, and spend their money here. 
But there are many lower-skilled jobs involved as well.
Moreover,
 remember the manufacturing chain. For example, well pads need cement. 
The casing is high quality steel, and each well needs several kilometers
 of it. That means work for people who make cement and steel. Add in the
 mulitplier effect, as more employment means more people buying things 
in shops, eating in restaurants, staying in hotels, and it's clear that,
 whatever the effect on the gas price, shale development will have a 
significant impact on the economy. 
Equally, any gas 
produced will be taxed. That's money going into the public purse, to be 
spent on schools, hospitals, or even wind farms. Public finances appear 
to be somewhat short of cash at the moment. Given our current situation,
 I don't think we can afford to be handing billions of pounds a year 
over to Qatar to host an air-conditioned World Cup when we could be 
reaping the economic benefits of shale gas development at home.